Economic & Fiscal Update (23.07.20)

27 July 2020

Supporting Fact Sheet - Fact Sheet: Economic Fiscal Update

Update Breakdown Joint media release with

Senator the Hon Mathias Cormann

Minister for Finance



The Economic and Fiscal Update released today shows the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on our nation’s finances as well as the scale of the support that has been provided to prepare our health system and cushion the blow for millions of households and businesses.



The Government has acted swiftly and decisively to provide economic support for workers, households and businesses of around $289 billion or the equivalent of 14.6 per cent of GDP.



This necessary and unprecedented level of economic support, coupled with declines in taxation receipts of $31.7 billion in 2019‑20 and $63.9 billion in 2020‑21, has significantly impacted the budget position.



Payments variations, including in demand driven programs, also increased by $15.7 billion, predominantly as a result of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the economy.



The underlying cash balance is forecast to decrease from balance in 2018-19 to a $85.8 billion deficit in 2019-20 and a $184.5 billion deficit in 2020-21.



Through the Government’s strong fiscal management, Australia entered the COVID-19 crisis in a position of economic and fiscal strength. We returned the budget to balance for the first time in 11 years which underpinned the capacity to respond to this unprecedented shock.



Our fiscal support is targeted, timely and temporary to ensure that it does not undermine the structural integrity of the Budget with all three major credit ratings agencies having now reaffirmed Australia’s AAA credit rating during the pandemic.



The economic support in response to the COVID-19 pandemic is estimated to have increased the level of real GDP by around ¾ per cent in 2019-20 and around 4¼ per cent in 2020-21. The fiscal measures are also estimated to have lowered the peak of the unemployment rate by around 5 percentage points.



Debt levels have increased significantly as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, however Australia continues to have a low level of debt-to-GDP compared to other countries. Net debt is expected to be $488.2 billion (24.6 per cent of GDP) at 30 June 2020 and increase to $677.1 billion (35.7 per cent of GDP) at 30 June 2021. Once the economic recovery is established, stronger growth and an improvement in the fiscal position will help to stabilise government debt as a share of the economy.



Despite the support to the economy from the measures the Government has taken, real GDP is forecast to have fallen sharply in the June quarter by 7 per cent. However, the easing of health restrictions in line with the health advice is expected to deliver an increase in economic activity from the September quarter and beyond.



There are some positive early signs in the recovery with indicators suggesting that the unwinding of containment measures in the latter part of the June quarter has led to a noticeable recovery in activity and jobs.



Household consumption is expected to lead the recovery with strong growth in the September quarter, while business and dwelling investment are expected to recover more gradually.



On a calendar-year basis, real GDP is predicted to grow by 2½ per cent in 2021, after a fall of 3¾ per cent in 2020.



Through no fault of their own, as a result of the pandemic around 709,000 jobs were lost across the country in the June quarter.



The unemployment rate is forecast to peak at around 9¼ per cent in the December quarter although labour market conditions are expected to strengthen beyond 2020.



The economic and fiscal outlook remains highly uncertain. The Government will provide forecasts and projections over the forward estimates period and medium term in the 2020-21 Budget, to be delivered on 6 October 2020.



Economic support

The Government’s swift and decisive response, made possible by our strong budget position leading into the crisis, has saved lives and livelihoods and has seen Australia outperform most advanced economies and trading partners in health and economic outcomes in 2020.



This unprecedented economic response has been designed to be temporary and targeted with measures to support individuals, households and businesses through the crisis, without undermining the structural integrity of the budget.



This includes the $85.7 billion JobKeeper Payment, expanded eligibility for income support payments, the Coronavirus Supplement, support payments for households, temporary cash flow support for employers, and increasing and expanding access to the instant asset write-off.



More than 960,000 businesses and not-for-profits and more than 3.5 million individuals have been covered by the JobKeeper Payment. As at 16 July, payments totalled over $30 billion.



On Tuesday, we confirmed the Government’s commitment to the recovery and reopening of the economy with the extension of the JobKeeper Payment and Coronavirus Supplement for those on income support.



The Boosting Cash Flow for Employers measure has provided more than $16 billion in payments to more than 750,000 employers across Australia as at 16 July 2020.



As part of our economic plan we are also investing $2 billion to give hundreds of thousands of Australians access to retraining and upskilling in sectors with job opportunities, as the economy recovers from COVID-19.



This investment includes our $1 billion JobTrainer Fund, jointly funded with the states and territories, to provide up to an additional 340,700 training places to help school leavers and job seekers access short and long courses. We are also expanding and extending the Supporting Apprentices and Trainees wage subsidy which has supported around 83,000 apprentices and trainees, and around 48,000 employers. As at 16 July 2020, payments totalled $377.6 million.



Our HomeBuilder program is assisting the residential construction industry by encouraging the commencement of new home builds and substantial rebuilds this year. Over the month of June, sales of new houses rose by nearly 80 per cent.



Families, farmers, business owners and communities are being supported as they recover from the devastating bushfires of 2019-20 through the $2 billion National Bushfire Recovery Fund.



Health support

The Government has committed $9.4 billion to build capacity and capability to support the health response to the COVID-19 pandemic.The Government has prioritised the protection of Australians, including vulnerable groups such as the elderly and those with chronic conditions from COVID-19.



The Government has helped protect the health of Australians through the urgent purchase of Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) and other essential equipment for the National Medical Stockpile. The Government is also investing in finding a vaccine and treatments for COVID-19, as well as better preparing for future pandemics.



The Government has boosted Australia’s testing capacity to meet the challenge of the COVID-19 pandemic, including by establishing dedicated Medicare-funded pathology tests and dedicated respiratory clinics, with coverage of around 97 per cent of the population.



The Government is also providing $3.7 billion to build our hospital system capacity for the COVID-19 response, including the National Partnership Agreement on COVID-19 to fund half of the costs incurred by the states and territories in diagnosing and treating patients with COVID-19 and minimising the spread of the disease as well as the partnership to harness private hospital capacity.



In addition, over 6.7 million people have downloaded the Government’s COVIDSafe App, which helps support health workers in their contact tracing.



To ensure access to essential health services, the Government has enabled whole-of-population Medicare subsidised telehealth services and provided $619.1 million to support bulk billing and



$54.8 million for additional support to enable GPs to continue to provide essential face-to-face medical services.



The Government has also provided $122.1 million to support the mental health and wellbeing of Australians during the COVID-19 pandemic.



In addition to the National Partnership Agreement on COVID 19, the Government is investing $131.4 billion in Commonwealth funding for Australia’s public hospitals, an increase of 30 per cent over the previous five years, through the 2020-25 National Health Reform Agreement.



The Government is also providing $18.3 billion in new and existing funding over the next five years to ensure quality pharmaceutical services through the Seventh Community Pharmacy Agreement.



The Government will continue to do what it takes to deliver the essential services on which Australians rely and to ensure a strong recovery.



The Economic and Fiscal Update is available on the Budget website.

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A foreign entrepreneur’s guide to starting a business in Australia Starting a business as a foreign entrepreneur can be an exhilarating way to access new markets, diversify investment portfolios, and create fresh opportunities. Many countries around the globe provide pathways for non-residents and foreign nationals to register businesses. However, understanding different countries’ legal requirements, procedures, and opportunities is crucial for success. In this issue, we will navigate the process of establishing a business in Australia to help foreign entrepreneurs looking to register a company in Australia. Key takeaways Foreign entrepreneurs can fully own Australian businesses with no restrictions on ownership. Registered office and resident director requirements are key legal considerations. ABN and ACN are essential for business registration. The application process can be done online, simplifying the process for foreign entrepreneurs. Why register a business as a foreign entrepreneur? There are various reasons why a foreigner may want to register a company in another country. These reasons include expanding into a foreign market, taking advantage of favourable tax laws, leveraging local resources, or benefiting from business-friendly regulatory environments. Before registering, conducting thorough market research to assess whether establishing a business abroad aligns with your objectives is essential. Understanding the country’s political and economic climate, legal framework, and tax system will help ensure the success of your venture. The general process for registering a business as a foreign entrepreneur While the exact requirements may differ from country to country, some common steps apply to most jurisdictions when registering a company as a foreign entrepreneur: Choosing the business structure The first step is deciding on the appropriate business structure. The structure determines liability, taxation, and governance. Common types of business structure include: Sole proprietorship: A single-owner business where the entrepreneur has complete control and entire liability. Limited Liability Company (LLC): Offers liability protection to the owners, meaning their assets are not at risk. Corporation (Inc.): A more complex structure that can issue shares and offers limited liability to its shareholders. Different countries have varying rules regarding foreign ownership, so understanding the options available is essential before registering a company. Registering with local authorities Regardless of the jurisdiction, most countries require you to register your company with the relevant local authorities. This process typically includes submitting documents such as: Company name and business activities: You need to choose a unique company name that adheres to local naming regulations. Articles of incorporation: This document outlines the company’s structure, activities, and bylaws. Proof of identity : As a foreign entrepreneur, you will likely need to provide a passport and other identification documents. Proof of address: Many countries require a physical address for the business, which may be the address of a registered agent or office. Tax Identification Number (TIN) and bank accounts After registering the company, you will typically need to apply for a tax identification number (TIN), employer identification number (EIN), or equivalent, depending on the jurisdiction. This number is used for tax filing and reporting purposes. Opening a business bank account is another critical step. Some countries require a local bank account for business transactions, and you may need to visit the bank in person or appoint a local representative to help with the process. Complying with local regulations Depending on the type of business, specific licenses and permits may be required to operate legally. For example, food service, healthcare, or transportation companies may need specific licenses. Compliance with local labour laws and intellectual property protections may also be necessary. Appoint directors and shareholders To register a company, you’ll need to appoint at least one director who resides in Australia. The director will be responsible for ensuring the company meets its legal obligations. You will also need to appoint shareholders, who can be either individuals or corporations. For foreign entrepreneurs, the requirement for a resident director is one of the key challenges. If you don’t have a trusted individual in Australia to act as the director, you can engage a professional service to fulfil this role. This ensures your business remains compliant with local regulations. Choose a company name Next, you need to choose a company name. The name should reflect your business but must be unique and available for registration. You can check the availability of a name through the Australian Securities & Investments Commission (ASIC) website. Remember that the name must meet legal requirements and cannot be similar to an existing registered company. If you’re unsure, seeking professional advice is always a good move. Apply for an Australian Business Number (ABN) and Australian Company Number (ACN) Once you’ve selected your business structure and appointed your directors, it’s time to apply for an Australian Business Number (ABN) and an Australian Company Number (ACN). These are essential for running your business in Australia. ABN: This unique 11-digit number allows your business to interact with the Australian Taxation Office (ATO) and other government agencies. ACN: This 9-digit number is allocated to your company upon registration with ASIC and serves as your business’s unique identifier. You can easily apply for both numbers online through the Australian Business Register (ABR) and the ASIC websites. Register for Goods and Services Tax (GST) If your business expects to earn more than $75,000 in revenue annually, you must register for GST. This means your business will charge customers an additional 10% on goods and services. The GST registration threshold for non-profit organisations is higher at $150,000 annually. If your company is below these thresholds, registering for GST is optional, but registration becomes mandatory once it exceeds the limit. Set up a registered office Every Australian company must have a registered office in Australia. This is where all official government documents, including legal notices, are sent. You can use your premises or hire a foreign company registration service to provide a virtual office address. Common challenges for foreign entrepreneurs While the process is relatively simple, there are a few hurdles that foreign entrepreneurs may encounter when registering a company in Australia: Resident director requirement: You’ll need a director residing in Australia. If you don’t have one, you’ll need to engage a service provider to fulfil this role. Understanding local tax laws: Australia has a corporate tax rate of 25% for small businesses with annual turnovers of less than $50 million. However, larger companies with turnovers exceeding $50 million are subject to a standard corporate tax rate of 30%. Foreign entrepreneurs must also understand the implications of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) and payroll tax. Compliance with Australian regulations: Navigating Australia’s various regulations and compliance requirements can be time-consuming. An accountant or adviser can help you in this regard. FAQs Can I register a company in Australia as a foreigner? Yes, foreign entrepreneurs can register a company in Australia. The only requirement is to have a resident director. Do I need to be in Australia to register a company? No, you can complete the registration process online. However, you must appoint a resident director. Do I need an Australian bank account to start a business in Australia? You will need an Australian bank account to handle your business’s finances and transactions. Can I operate my Australian company from abroad? Yes, you can operate your company remotely, but you must comply with all local tax laws and regulations.